Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.769686 1.920168 2.079965 2.262702 2.466397 2.687047 2.944909
2025-12-14 1.525365 1.728195 1.955860 2.231872 2.559492 2.938497 3.413831
2025-12-21 1.339003 1.563100 1.824578 2.155090 2.565824 3.064927 3.725782
2025-12-28 1.240225 1.483941 1.777628 2.162180 2.659311 3.290010 4.166704
2026-01-04 1.169487 1.429107 1.750755 2.185086 2.766552 3.533450 4.648155
2026-01-11 1.112681 1.385107 1.730997 2.211114 2.874596 3.781530 5.156172
2026-01-18 1.062540 1.344664 1.710811 2.231872 2.973161 4.020669 5.672450
2026-01-25 1.012676 1.300330 1.680988 2.234931 3.044012 4.222682 6.151105
2026-02-01 0.951499 1.236497 1.619758 2.187976 3.036512 4.305169 6.448040
2026-02-08 0.901858 1.185278 1.572256 2.156255 3.047127 4.413064 6.793692
2026-02-15 0.862774 1.146341 1.539276 2.142638 3.082572 4.560341 7.218587
2026-02-22 0.844548 1.135562 1.545391 2.186862 3.209812 4.864172 7.949442
2026-03-01 0.809707 1.099786 1.513972 2.173023 3.245530 5.023494 8.447309
2026-03-08 0.774871 1.062309 1.477984 2.149594 3.263485 5.153749 8.907292
2026-03-15 0.729938 1.007860 1.413721 2.077259 3.194112 5.124451 9.051937
2026-03-22 0.708458 0.987255 1.399587 2.084161 3.258957 5.339318 9.712230
2026-03-29 0.692136 0.973528 1.395079 2.106039 3.350653 5.610882 10.527615
2026-04-05 0.677558 0.961681 1.392686 2.130875 3.448849 5.903272 11.431079
2026-04-12 0.662743 0.948716 1.387702 2.150677 3.538895 6.187948 12.361253
2026-04-19 0.645173 0.930645 1.373548 2.153595 3.597465 6.415039 13.192729
2026-04-26 0.618693 0.897482 1.333427 2.108801 3.562534 6.447475 13.556699
2026-05-03 0.596735 0.870675 1.302536 2.078532 3.553052 6.531487 14.061751
2026-05-10 0.579425 0.850662 1.281984 2.065537 3.576042 6.686287 14.773991